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A rigorous look at the math behind Bitcoin ($BTC) suggests the cryptocurrency's long-term return could approach zero — a figure that sits far from the million-dollar price targets that have become a fixture of crypto discourse.
Counterintuitive as that sounds, the same analysis implies this outcome may be precisely what validates Bitcoin as a lasting asset rather than a speculative episode.
What a Near-Zero Long-Term Return Actually Means Start with the concept. A near-zero long-term return does not mean the price collapses to nothing.
It means that over a long enough horizon, gains — adjusted for time and risk — converge toward what a stable store of value delivers, not what a high-growth equity produces.
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