The Cleveland Browns are favored by three points against the Pittsburgh Steelers in the Week 4 "Thursday Night Football" matchup, a pick made by sports bettor David. The game pits two American Football Conference North teams against each other, with both sides entering the contest with a 2-1 record. The Steelers have won their first two home games this season, defeating the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1 and the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 3, while scoring a total of 50 points in those two contests. Their offense struggled on the road in Week 2, however, when the New England Patriots held them to just three points. Pittsburgh’s defense has been strong against the pass, limiting opponents to an average of 192.7 passing yards per game, though its rushing defense is considered about average, allowing 113 yards on the ground. In their most recent game, the Steelers trailed late but kicked two field goals in the fourth quarter to secure a victory over the Bengals. The Cleveland Browns have also started the season 2-1, though their path has been less smooth. They lost their opener to the Jacksonville Jaguars by a score of 34-10, turning the ball over twice with one fumble and one interception. The team rebounded to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 2 and then defeated the Carolina Panthers 21-18 in Week 3. Cleveland’s defensive profile is the inverse of Pittsburgh’s; the Browns possess the 10th-worst rushing defense in football but are about average when defending the pass. The betting market has set the total points for the game at 38.5, suggesting a low-scoring affair. Rain is expected during the game, which may further impact offensive production. David notes that neither team runs the ball exceptionally well, which supports the low total, but he has lost under bets in two consecutive "Thursday Night Football" games and is therefore not playing the total. Instead, he favors Cleveland to cover the three-point spread, citing recent performance by quarterback Deshaun Watson. He also recommends betting on running back Quinshon Judkins to exceed 55.5 rushing yards, noting that Judkins has received a significant number of carries and that the Steelers’ rushing defense is not among the league's best.